Diageo Proposes Trade Rule Reforms as an Alternative to Trump’s Tariffs

Global spirits leader Diageo has proposed that the U.S. government tighten rules of origin requirements in trade agreements as an alternative to imposing tariffs, according to a letter sent to the U.S. Trade Representative.

Dated March 11, the letter highlights Diageo’s stance amid former President Donald Trump’s efforts to restructure global trade policies. The company argues that revising rules of origin could align with the administration’s objectives while benefiting the industry.

The proposed rules would prioritize goods—such as alcoholic beverages—wherein the ingredients and components are primarily sourced from the U.S. or its key trading partners. Alden Schacher, Vice President of Government Relations at Diageo North America, emphasized that this approach would bolster domestic supply chains, prevent foreign competitors from bypassing tariffs through trade partners, and reinforce economic growth in the U.S.

Diageo’s recommendation includes mandating that the grains or plants used in imported alcoholic beverages originate from the United States or a nation with a trade agreement, such as Canada or Mexico. Additionally, the company suggests that distillation and barrel aging should also take place within the U.S. or its strategic trade partners.

With billions of dollars in U.S. sales of tequila and Canadian whisky, Diageo has raised concerns over the potential financial impact of proposed tariffs. Company executives estimate that a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico could cost the firm around $200 million in operating profit for the latter half of the fiscal year.

Adding to these concerns, Trump recently announced a potential 200% tariff on European alcohol imports, including wine and cognac.

Schacher’s letter also underscores the reciprocal nature of the distilled spirits trade, arguing that measures to correct imbalances are unnecessary. He further highlighted Diageo’s significant contributions to the U.S. economy, noting that the company employs thousands of American workers, operates 11 manufacturing sites, and invests $650 million annually in domestic inputs such as barrels, glass, and cans.

DirecTV Secures Long-Awaited Merger with Dish

On Monday, DirecTV announced an agreement to acquire EchoStar’s satellite television division, which includes Dish TV, finalizing years of on-again, off-again discussions. This deal will create one of the largest pay-TV providers in the U.S. with a combined total of 20 million subscribers.

The acquisition takes place as traditional satellite TV services, like DirecTV and Dish, are rapidly losing market share to streaming platforms such as Netflix and Amazon Prime Video. These competitors have capitalized on shifting consumer preferences and the increasing demand for streaming content.

DirecTV CEO Bill Morrow told Reuters that the merger will enable the combined entity to negotiate better programming deals, offering smaller, more customized content bundles to appeal to consumers’ preferences. Additionally, the company aims to enhance the user experience by simplifying access to both live TV and streaming services, allowing customers to manage their subscriptions from a single platform.

Morrow explained that most consumers do not want the hassle of managing multiple subscriptions to different streaming services. The integration of DirecTV and Dish will allow customers to avoid that burden.

As part of the transaction, DirecTV will purchase Dish DBS, which includes Dish and Sling TV, for $1, while taking on approximately $9.75 billion of Dish’s debt. The companies have launched an exchange offer to restructure the debt, seeking to extend its maturities. For the deal to succeed, Dish’s creditors will need to agree to reduce the outstanding debt by $1.57 billion.

This merger provides EchoStar, founded by Charlie Ergen, with a much-needed lifeline as the company grapples with over $20 billion in debt. EchoStar will receive $2.5 billion in financing from buyout firm TPG’s credit unit, Angelo Gordon, and DirecTV, which will be used to pay off a $2 billion bond due in November.

According to EchoStar, the merger will help reduce its consolidated debt by $11.7 billion and lessen its refinancing obligations through 2026 by $6.7 billion. Jeff Wlodarczak, an analyst at Pivotal Research Group, noted that the merger was inevitable given the growing competition from internet-based services and believes the combined company will be better positioned in this landscape.

Despite the announcement, EchoStar’s stock price fell by nearly 18% in early trading. Wlodarczak attributed this drop to the absence of equity in the deal, with some investors selling following a substantial rise in the stock price earlier in the year.

The deal also offers a strategic exit for AT&T, which is selling its 70% stake in DirecTV to TPG for $7.6 billion. AT&T had previously agreed not to sell its DirecTV stake for three years, a term that expired at the end of July. Declining earnings from DirecTV in recent years likely contributed to AT&T’s decision to divest.

Although the media landscape has shifted significantly since a previous merger attempt in 2002, the current deal will still need regulatory approval. DirecTV and Dish believe that combining their services will allow them to better compete against cable providers like Comcast’s Xfinity and Charter’s Spectrum, as well as streaming rivals such as YouTube TV.

For Dish, based in Englewood, Colorado, this merger will enable the company to focus on its 5G wireless network investment. Ergen, who co-founded both Dish and EchoStar, had previously merged the two companies.

DirecTV expects the merger to yield at least $1 billion in annual cost savings and could boost Ergen’s goal of building the nation’s fourth-largest wireless carrier. The transaction is expected to close by the end of 2025, pending regulatory approval.

At present, DirecTV’s subscriber base has shrunk from over 15 million in 2021 to just over 11 million. In its latest financial report, EchoStar revealed that Dish TV’s subscribers had fallen by 104,000, leaving the company with 6.1 million subscribers.

Advisory firms involved in the deal include PJT Partners for DirecTV, Barclays for TPG, and JPMorgan for Dish. Other advisers include Bank of America, Evercore, LionTree, and Morgan Stanley.

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Shippers Rush to Find Solutions as U.S. East Coast Port Strike Looms

U.S. companies that depend on the East and Gulf Coast seaports have been adjusting their logistics strategies to mitigate the potential impact of a strike scheduled for October 1. To avoid disruptions, businesses are accelerating imports, shifting shipments to West Coast ports, and even using expensive air freight. This strike, if it occurs, could cause major supply chain delays and exacerbate inflation ahead of the U.S. presidential election.

Kenneth Sanchez, CEO of Chesapeake Specialty Products, which exports goods like metallic abrasives and foundry sand additives, expressed frustration, stating that this is another complication on top of ongoing challenges. His company uses the Port of Baltimore, which is one of the 36 ports impacted by the unresolved labor negotiations between the International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA) and the United States Maritime Alliance. The two groups are at an impasse, primarily over wage concerns, and the looming strike could bring operations to a halt.

This potential strike comes at a critical time, just five weeks before the presidential election between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, with economic issues taking center stage. Alongside the current strike by 30,000 Boeing machinists, a prolonged port shutdown could severely affect the U.S. job market. Economists from Oxford Economics estimate that the combined strikes could result in 100,000 fewer jobs by mid-October.

For Sanchez, this would be the second major supply chain challenge this year, following a bridge collapse that limited access to the Baltimore port for several months. To prepare for the possibility of a long-term strike, he is considering rerouting shipments to West Coast ports.

Other businesses are also preparing contingency plans. STIHL, a German manufacturer of chain saws, is working on strategies to keep exports flowing from its Virginia plant, which ships to over 80 countries. However, they have not shared specific details.

Retailers and manufacturers are taking proactive steps by rushing to bring in goods such as apparel, home goods, and machine parts ahead of the strike deadline. This surge in imports pushed U.S. shipping volumes to multi-year highs in July and August, further increasing shipping costs. The rerouting of vessels around Africa to avoid security threats near the Suez Canal has also driven up prices.

Ronnie Robinson, Chief Supply Chain Officer at Designer Brands, which owns DSW, shifted half of his East Coast-bound shoe imports to the West Coast. In one instance, his company paid ten times the usual cost to air freight leather boots and dress shoes from Brazil, ensuring timely delivery to major retailers like Macy’s and Nordstrom.

As of late September, 42 container ships were scheduled to arrive at the Port of New York and New Jersey, with 13 ships arriving after September 30, according to maritime tracking data from S&P Global. These shipments are crucial, as the five largest East and Gulf Coast ports handle goods valued at $2.7 billion daily.

Experts warn that certain products, like wine and auto parts from Europe, are especially vulnerable. Rerouting these items to West Coast ports poses logistical challenges, such as navigating the Panama Canal or opting for costly air freight. Additionally, the East and Gulf Coast ports manage around 75% of U.S. banana imports, making rerouting low-value perishables like bananas economically unfeasible.

Shipping costs have already seen significant fluctuations. For instance, the price to ship a 40-foot container from Shanghai to New York spiked to $10,000 in July. While rates have since decreased, a strike could cause prices to surge again.

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Hurricane-Induced Supply Fears Drive Oil Price Recovery

Oil prices surged over 1% on Wednesday, recovering some of the steep losses from the previous day, as concerns about Hurricane Francine threatening U.S. production outweighed global demand worries.

Brent crude futures rose by 84 cents, or 1.2%, reaching $70.03 per barrel by 0704 GMT, while U.S. crude futures climbed 81 cents, or 1.2%, to $66.56 per barrel.

This followed a nearly $3 drop for both benchmarks on Tuesday, with Brent hitting its lowest point since December 2021 and WTI (West Texas Intermediate) sinking to its lowest since May 2023. The slump came after OPEC revised down its global oil demand forecast for both this year and 2025.

“The market saw a natural rebound after Tuesday’s significant decline,” noted Yuki Takashima, an economist at Nomura Securities, who also pointed to concerns over Hurricane Francine’s impact on supply as a contributing factor.

However, Takashima warned that downward pressure on oil prices is likely to persist in the near term due to ongoing worries about weakening demand amid economic slowdowns in China and the U.S. He adjusted his forecast for WTI prices to $60-$80 per barrel for the rest of the year, down from a previous estimate of $65-$85.

Hurricane Francine, which has intensified in the Gulf of Mexico, has led to production shutdowns as companies brace for its impact. Approximately 24% of crude oil and 26% of natural gas production in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico were halted as of Tuesday, according to the U.S. Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE). Residents in parts of Louisiana have been evacuated.

In its monthly report released on Tuesday, OPEC cut its global oil demand growth estimate for 2024 to 2.03 million barrels per day (bpd), down from the 2.11 million bpd forecast in its previous report. The outlook for 2025 was also revised down, from 1.78 million bpd to 1.74 million bpd.

Despite this, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) stated that global oil demand is expected to reach a record high this year, although production growth is likely to be slower than previously anticipated.

Adding to the support for oil prices, U.S. crude inventories saw a reduction last week. According to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute (API) data, U.S. crude stockpiles fell by 2.793 million barrels during the week ending September 6, while gasoline stocks dropped by 513,000 barrels. A Reuters poll of 11 analysts had predicted a rise of 1 million barrels in crude inventories and a 100,000-barrel decline in gasoline stocks.

China’s daily crude oil imports in August reached their highest level in a year, according to customs data and Reuters records, but they were still 7% lower than the same period last year. Year-to-date imports are also down by 3%, adding to concerns about slowing demand from the world’s second-largest economy.

Hiroyuki Kikukawa, president of NS Trading, a division of Nissan Securities, predicted that the market will continue to face bearish sentiment due to these global demand concerns, particularly in China.

Chrysler Issues Recall for Nearly 1.2 Million Vehicles in the U.S

Stellantis, the parent company of Chrysler, is recalling approximately 1.2 million vehicles in the U.S. due to a software issue within the anti-lock brake system, according to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA). This glitch could increase the likelihood of accidents.

The recall affects 1,227,808 vehicles, including specific models of the Ram 1500 from 2019 and 2021-2024, according to the NHTSA.

The issue stems from a software error that can disable the electronic stability control system when the anti-lock brake system (ABS) malfunctions, as noted by the NHTSA. To fix this, dealerships will provide software updates for the ABS control module.

Additionally, Stellantis is recalling 32,863 Jeep Gladiator models from 2020-2024 and Jeep Wrangler vehicles from 2018-2024. The recall is due to a potential internal short circuit in the instrument panel cluster of these vehicles.

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Luis Suarez Announces Retirement from International Football

On Monday, Luis Suarez, Uruguay’s top goal scorer and second most-capped player, announced his retirement from international football.

During an emotional press conference at Montevideo’s Centenario Stadium, the 37-year-old revealed that he would play his final match for the national team in Friday’s World Cup qualifier against Paraguay at the same venue.

“This will be my last game with the national team,” Suarez said, holding back tears.

“I’m at peace with this decision because it’s time to step back. At 37, I know it will be hard to make it to the next World Cup. It comforts me to retire on my own terms, not due to injuries or being left out of the squad.”

Suarez, who has netted 69 goals in 142 international appearances, is among the few Uruguayan players to have competed in four World Cups and the first to feature in five qualifying campaigns.

The pinnacle of his international career was in 2011 when he led Uruguay to victory in the Copa America in Argentina, where he was named the tournament’s best player.

However, one of the darker moments came in 2014 when he infamously bit Italy defender Giorgio Chiellini during a World Cup group stage match in Brazil.

This incident led to a nine-game international suspension and a four-month ban from all football-related activities.

“On a personal level, the worst moment was my biggest mistake in 2014,” Suarez admitted. “I made errors, but I never gave up.”

The former Ajax, Liverpool, Barcelona, and Atletico Madrid forward stated that he would continue his club career with Inter Miami, where he has a contract until December.

“I still want to enjoy playing football a bit longer,” Suarez said.

“I’m content with where I am. What the future holds, we’ll see,” he added.

Wall Street Steady Ahead of Nvidia Earnings Report

Wall Street’s major indexes saw minimal movement on Wednesday as investors anticipated Nvidia’s earnings report, with a keen focus on whether the recent bull market, driven by the AI chip company and other tech-related stocks, could be sustained.

Throughout the week, the three major indexes have experienced small fluctuations, with the Dow hovering near a record high and the S&P 500 just 1% shy of an all-time peak, as investors eagerly awaited Nvidia’s results post-market close.

Shares of Nvidia experienced a slight decline. According to data from analytics firm ORATS, options pricing indicated that traders expected Nvidia’s shares to move by about 9.8% on Thursday, following the company’s earnings report.

A disappointing performance from Nvidia could negatively impact megacap and semiconductor stocks, which have been pivotal in the 2024 rally due to the anticipated boost in corporate profits from artificial intelligence.

“Investors are somewhat anxious about Nvidia’s upcoming report,” commented Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research. “Given the high expectations, there’s a sense of how much better it can actually get.”

Stovall added, “The outcome will influence not only Nvidia’s shares but also the tech sector and the broader market.”

Other semiconductor stocks, including Qualcomm and Advanced Micro Devices, also saw slight declines, with the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor Index down by 0.2%. The broader technology sector dropped by 0.4%.

Megacap stocks such as Meta, Microsoft, and Alphabet experienced marginal declines.

As of 09:41 a.m., the Dow Jones Industrial Average had dropped 16.08 points, or 0.04%, to 41,234.42. The S&P 500 fell by 2.28 points, or 0.04%, to 5,623.52, and the Nasdaq Composite lost 28.90 points, or 0.16%, to 17,725.92.

Six out of the 11 sectors in the S&P 500 were down, with energy stocks leading the decline by 0.7% as crude oil prices dropped by over 1%.

Optimism remains that the U.S. Federal Reserve will reduce interest rates at its September meeting, following Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s recent support for a near-term policy adjustment, which had fueled widespread market gains.

According to the CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, there is currently a 65.5% chance of a 25-basis point rate cut, while the odds of a 50-basis point cut stand at 34.5%.

The upcoming Personal Consumption Expenditure report for July, set to be released on Friday, is expected to offer more clarity on the central bank’s approach to rate cuts.

Additionally, remarks on the economic outlook from Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic, a voting member, later in the day, will be closely monitored.

Meanwhile, the market value of Warren Buffett’s conglomerate, Berkshire Hathaway, surpassed $1 trillion.

Super Micro Computer saw an 18% drop after the AI server manufacturer announced a delay in filing its annual report for the fiscal year ending June 30, following a short position disclosure by Hindenburg Research.

On the NYSE, declining issues outnumbered advancers by a ratio of 1.76 to 1, while on the Nasdaq, the ratio was 1.8 to 1.

The S&P 500 recorded 35 new 52-week highs and one new low, while the Nasdaq Composite noted 26 new highs and 27 new lows.

Nvidia’s Q2 Sales Expected to Double, but Even a Small Miss Could Impact Shares

On Wednesday, Nvidia is expected to announce that its second-quarter revenue has more than doubled. However, for a company that consistently delivers impressive results, investors are anticipating even more from the artificial intelligence (AI) chip leader.

The outcome of Nvidia’s earnings report for the May-July period could either fuel or dampen the AI market rally on Thursday, depending on whether the company surpasses or falls short of Wall Street’s expectations.

Nvidia’s stock has seen an extraordinary increase of over 150% this year, contributing an additional $1.82 trillion to its market value and driving the S&P 500 to new heights.

Currently, Nvidia’s stock trades at approximately 37 times its projected earnings, significantly higher than the average of around 29 for the top six tech firms in the S&P 500 index, which includes Nvidia.

Several tech giants, including Microsoft, are heavily investing in AI infrastructure and purchasing Nvidia’s powerful graphic processing units (GPUs). These GPUs enable rapid computation, making them nearly irreplaceable in modern data centers, and this demand has significantly boosted Nvidia’s fortunes.

According to LSEG data from August 23, Nvidia’s second-quarter revenue is expected to have jumped by around 112% year-over-year to $28.68 billion. However, the company’s adjusted gross margin may have dipped by more than 3 percentage points to 75.8% compared to the first quarter, largely due to increased production costs to meet rising demand.

“Nvidia isn’t just a benchmark for chips; it’s a benchmark for AI as a whole,” said Daniel Morgan, a senior portfolio manager at Synovus Trust, which holds shares in major U.S. tech companies, including Nvidia.

Some investors, however, are concerned about Nvidia’s ability to meet high expectations and the pace of AI spending by its largest customers. These concerns contributed to a 20% drop in Nvidia’s stock throughout July and early August, although a recent rebound has brought the stock to within 5% of its record high in June.

Potential production delays for Nvidia’s next-generation Blackwell AI chips could pose additional challenges. Although CEO Jensen Huang indicated in May that these chips would ship in the second quarter, analysts have raised concerns about design obstacles that could delay their release.

This could result in slower revenue growth in the first half of next year, according to research group SemiAnalysis. Additionally, Nvidia’s profit margins could be squeezed if its chip manufacturer, TSMC, increases its fees a possibility that the Taiwanese company recently hinted at.

Looking ahead, Nvidia is projected to forecast a 75% increase in third-quarter revenue to $31.69 billion, according to LSEG data. This would mark the end of a five-quarter streak of triple-digit growth, as the company faces tougher year-over-year comparisons—last year’s third-quarter revenue surged by about 206% to $18.12 billion.

For the past three quarters, Nvidia’s growth has consistently exceeded 200%.

“We’re hitting the limits of growth once a company reaches a certain size, it becomes nearly impossible to sustain the same rate of expansion,” said Michael Schulman, chief investment officer at Running Point Capital.

Some analysts believe Nvidia could mitigate the impact of any delays in Blackwell chip production by fulfilling orders with its previous generation Hopper chips. While the Hopper processors aren’t as advanced or profitable as the Blackwell chips, they are sufficient for most AI-related applications.

Investors will also be eager for updates on Nvidia’s AI processors for the Chinese market, where the U.S. government has restricted the sale of its most advanced chips.

Nvidia’s processors designed for China, reportedly named H20, are less powerful than its top-tier chips but could help the company secure business in a significant market where domestic rival Huawei has become a formidable competitor.

Lastly, Nvidia faces increasing scrutiny over potential antitrust issues. U.S. regulators are investigating whether the company pressured cloud providers to purchase multiple products or bundled its networking equipment with its highly sought-after AI chips.

WHO Official Asserts Mpox is Not the Next COVID

A World Health Organization (WHO) official emphasized on Tuesday that mpox, whether it’s an older or newer strain, should not be viewed as the next COVID-19, given that health authorities are aware of how to control its spread.

“We have the ability and responsibility to address mpox together,” stated Hans Kluge, WHO’s Regional Director for Europe, during a media briefing hosted by the United Nations.

“The critical question is whether we will establish the necessary systems to manage and eliminate mpox on a global scale or fall into another cycle of panic and disregard. Our response now, and in the years ahead, will be a crucial test for Europe and the world,” he continued.

Mpox, a viral infection that leads to pus-filled sores and flu-like symptoms, is generally mild but can be fatal in some cases.

The clade 1b strain has garnered global attention due to its apparent ease of transmission through regular close contact.

Last week, a case of this variant was confirmed in Sweden, linked to a growing outbreak in Africa, marking the first instance of its spread beyond the continent. Following the identification of this new variant, the WHO declared the outbreak a public health emergency of international concern.

Kluge noted that focusing on the more transmissible clade 1b strain will also aid in combating the less severe clade 2 variant, which has been spreading globally since 2022. This focus will allow Europe to enhance its response through improved health guidance and monitoring.

Currently, approximately 100 new cases of the clade 2 mpox strain are being reported monthly across the European region, Kluge added.

Mpox spreads through close physical contact, including sexual contact. However, unlike previous global pandemics such as COVID-19, there is no evidence that it spreads easily through the air.

Health authorities must remain vigilant and adaptable in case more transmissible clades emerge or if there are changes in transmission methods. However, WHO spokesperson Tarik Jasarevic mentioned that there are no current recommendations for people to wear masks.

Wall Street Closes Strongest Week of the Year as Recession Worries Diminish

U.S. stocks closed higher on Friday, capping off a week of substantial gains as concerns over an economic downturn eased, and investors shifted their attention to the upcoming Jackson Hole Economic Symposium.

Both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq marked their seventh consecutive day of gains, recovering losses from a sharp decline two weeks ago. That sell-off, triggered by weak economic data and growing fears of a recession, had pushed the Nasdaq into correction territory.

All three major indexes recorded their most significant weekly percentage gains since late October. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq logged their first weekly gains in five weeks.

“We’re seeing a continuation of the market rebound, with earlier recession fears calming down,” said Greg Bassuk, CEO of AXS Investments in New York. “Positive economic data is driving this rally, boosting investor confidence that a recession might be avoided and that the Federal Reserve could start cutting rates in September.”

This week’s key economic reports, including the Labor Department’s consumer price index and a retail sales report from the Commerce Department, offered reassurance that inflation is slowly moving towards the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, and that consumer spending remains robust.

Friday’s data showed that U.S. single-family housing starts fell to nearly a 1.5-year low in July, while the University of Michigan’s preliminary August consumer sentiment report showed better-than-expected improvement.

Next week, global central bank officials will convene at the Jackson Hole symposium in Wyoming, where Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech on Friday could set the tone for the U.S. rate cut path.

“Everyone will be closely watching Powell’s comments next week,” Bassuk said. “This year’s market activity has largely hinged on the potential and scope of Fed rate cuts.”

In an interview with National Public Radio, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee cautioned that central bank officials should be careful not to maintain restrictive policies longer than necessary.

Financial markets are currently predicting a 74.5% chance that the Fed will cut its key policy rate by 25 basis points at the conclusion of its September meeting, with a reduced 25.5% chance of a larger 50-basis-point cut, according to CME’s FedWatch tool.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 96.7 points, or 0.24%, to 40,659.76. The S&P 500 gained 11.03 points, or 0.20%, to 5,554.25, while the Nasdaq Composite increased by 37.22 points, or 0.21%, to 17,631.72.

Of the S&P 500’s 11 major sectors, financials saw the largest percentage gain, while industrials experienced the biggest decline.

Applied Materials dropped 1.9%, reversing its earlier surge after the chip-making equipment company predicted stronger-than-expected fourth-quarter revenue.

Amcor reported a steeper-than-expected decline in fourth-quarter sales, leading to a 3.7% drop in its U.S.-listed shares.

On the NYSE, advancing issues outpaced decliners by a ratio of 2.22-to-1, while on Nasdaq, a 1.53-to-1 ratio favored advancers.

The S&P 500 recorded 13 new 52-week highs and no new lows, while the Nasdaq Composite saw 66 new highs and 85 new lows.

Trading volume on U.S. exchanges reached 10.11 billion shares, compared with the 12.27 billion average for the last 20 trading days.

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European Stocks Gain as Investors Await U.S. Inflation Data

European stocks experienced a modest increase on Wednesday, while the U.S. dollar hovered near a one-week low. The uptick in the markets followed data indicating softer inflation, which provided some relief after last week’s sharp declines. Investors were also cautiously optimistic about upcoming U.S. inflation data, hoping it would confirm a less aggressive inflationary trend.

In a significant move, New Zealand’s central bank reduced interest rates for the first time in four years and hinted at further monetary easing. This decision triggered a sell-off in the New Zealand dollar, which saw a decline of approximately 1% by the day’s end.

The Japanese yen and the Nikkei index experienced some turbulence after Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida announced his plans to step down next month. Despite this, Asian markets as a whole managed to recover from recent losses, showing overall positive performance.

As of 1041 GMT, the MSCI World Equity Index rose by 0.3%, reaching its highest level in 12 days.

In the U.S., Wall Street futures remained relatively stable but edged slightly higher, with S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures both posting gains of 0.1%.

In Europe, the STOXX 600 index climbed 0.3%, while London’s FTSE 100 rose by 0.4% after data revealed that British inflation in July was lower than anticipated.

UBS shares surged by around 3.1% following the bank’s report of a $1.1 billion net profit for the April to June quarter, surpassing analysts’ expectations.

The global market sell-off last week was largely driven by fears of a potential U.S. recession, which led traders to anticipate a swift rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve to stimulate growth. Additionally, the market was impacted by traders unwinding their yen carry trades due to the yen’s strength following an unexpected rate hike by the Bank of Japan.

Since then, U.S. economic data has alleviated some recession concerns. On Tuesday, U.S. producer price data suggested cooling inflation, bolstering speculation that the Federal Reserve might consider rate cuts soon.

The much-anticipated U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data is scheduled for release at 1230 GMT (8:30 a.m. ET), with markets hopeful that it will reinforce the possibility of Fed rate cuts. Current market sentiment shows a 51.5% probability of a 50 basis point rate cut and a 48.5% chance of a 25 basis point cut at the Fed’s next meeting in September.

“Markets are less in panic mode,” noted Justin Onuekwusi, Chief Investment Officer at St. James’s Place. However, he cautioned that traders might be overly optimistic about the likelihood of rate cuts.

“The market is being far too aggressive in those Fed cuts, particularly when you have hawkish leaning Fed officials saying they are looking for more data to support cuts,” Onuekwusi added.

Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic echoed this sentiment on Tuesday, expressing a desire to see more economic data before endorsing rate reductions.

The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield saw a slight dip to 3.8333%, following Tuesday’s producer price data.

In Europe, government bond yields inched higher, with Germany’s 10-year yield rising by 2 basis points to 2.198%.

The dollar index remained mostly unchanged at 102.46, while the euro gained 0.2%, reaching its strongest level since January 2 at $1.102875 earlier in the day.

In the commodities market, Brent crude futures dropped 0.4% to $80.39 per barrel, and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude fell 0.5% to $77.99 per barrel.

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Cisco Plans Additional Mass Layoffs in Second Round This Year

Cisco is set to implement a significant round of layoffs, marking the second wave of job cuts this year as the U.S.-based networking giant shifts its focus toward higher-growth sectors like cybersecurity and AI. According to sources familiar with the situation, the upcoming layoffs may affect a number of employees comparable to or slightly higher than the 4,000 let go in February. The announcement is expected to coincide with the release of the company’s fourth-quarter financial results, possibly as early as Wednesday.

Cisco, headquartered in San Jose, California, had about 84,900 employees as of July 2023, a figure that does not account for the previous layoffs. The company has yet to comment on the anticipated job cuts. Following news of the layoffs, Cisco’s shares dipped nearly 1%, contributing to an overall 9% decline in its stock value this year.

As the largest producer of routers and switches that facilitate internet traffic, Cisco has faced challenges with waning demand and supply-chain issues in its core business. In response, the company has been diversifying its portfolio, including the $28 billion acquisition of cybersecurity firm Splunk, which was completed in March. This strategic move aims to decrease Cisco’s dependence on one-time hardware sales by bolstering its subscription-based services.

Cisco is also integrating AI into its product lineup, with a target of reaching $1 billion in AI-related orders by 2025. In June, the company launched a $1 billion fund to invest in AI startups such as Cohere, Mistral AI, and Scale AI. Over the past several years, Cisco has made 20 AI-focused acquisitions and investments.

The layoffs are part of a broader trend in the tech industry, where companies have been reducing costs to balance the substantial investments made in AI. Since the start of the year, more than 126,000 employees across 393 tech firms have been laid off, according to data from Layoffs.fyi. Earlier in August, chipmaker Intel also announced significant cuts, reducing its workforce by over 15%, or about 17,500 employees, in an effort to stabilize its struggling manufacturing division.

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Gulf Markets Continue Gains as US Recession Concerns Ease

Early Wednesday trading saw most Gulf stock markets rise, continuing their recovery from the significant sell-off experienced earlier in the week due to fears of a potential U.S. recession.

On Monday, U.S. Federal Reserve policymakers countered concerns that the weaker-than-expected July jobs data signaled an economic freefall into recession.

According to the CME FedWatch tool, there is now a 65% probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 50 basis points in September, down from 85% the previous day.

Monetary policy in the six-member Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) typically follows the Fed’s decisions, as most regional currencies are pegged to the U.S. dollar.

Saudi Arabia’s benchmark index increased by 0.8%, with oil giant Saudi Aramco rising by 1.7%.

Aramco announced it would acquire a 22.5% stake in the petrochemical joint venture Petro Rabigh from Japan’s Sumitomo Chemical for $702 million, aiming to turn around the loss-making venture.

Aramco also reported a second-quarter net profit of 109.01 billion riyals ($29.04 billion) on Monday, surpassing the company-provided median estimate of $27.7 billion from 15 analysts.

Dubai’s main share index climbed 2%, driven by a 4.2% surge in blue-chip developer Emaar Properties.

Dubai’s main airport is on track to handle a record number of passengers this year, following an 8% year-on-year increase in the first six months, according to Dubai Airports.

In Abu Dhabi, the index gained 1.4%.

Conversely, the Qatari benchmark index declined by 0.2%, impacted by a 0.1% drop in Qatar National Bank, the Gulf’s largest lender.

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Finance Minister Aurangzeb Confident in IMF Deal Following Approval of Tax-Heavy Budget

On Sunday, Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb expressed confidence in Pakistan’s prospects of securing a new bailout from the International Monetary Fund (IMF). This announcement followed President Asif Ali Zardari’s approval of a tax-heavy budget for the upcoming fiscal year, which begins on July 1.

During a press conference in Islamabad, the finance minister stated, “The IMF program is our assurance in terms of macro stability. We are taking it forward; it is inevitable. I’m very optimistic that we’ll be able to take it through the finish line for an Extended Fund Programme, which is going to be larger and longer in nature.”

The cash-strapped federal government has implemented a Rs18.9 trillion budget, incorporating tax-raising measures to secure a new bailout from the IMF after nearly defaulting last year.

Budget Measures and Their Impact

The new budget includes increased taxes on the already burdened salaried class, incorporates exporters into the normal tax regime, raises the petroleum levy to Rs70, and imposes new taxes on the real estate sector. These measures are aimed at boosting tax collection.

Experts have noted that while this financial blueprint could help Pakistan unlock a deal with the IMF, it might also lead to further inflation, potentially causing public discontent.

Acknowledging the burden on inflation-struck citizens, the finance minister said, “I completely understand the stress that people from different sectors feel about additional taxes; I completely empathize and sympathize, but we need to work for it.” He emphasized the government’s commitment to reducing the burden on the public and businesses by improving management systems and curbing leakages.

Petroleum Levy Details

In the new budget, the petroleum development levy (PDL) has been increased by Rs10 per liter, from Rs60 to Rs70. This decision has caused concern among the public due to already high petrol prices. However, the finance minister clarified that this levy would not be imposed immediately and assured that petrol prices would remain unchanged for now.

“There are talks about the PDL. I want to be very clear: the Rs70 limit that we’ve set, we’re not going to impose it [right now],” Aurangzeb, a former banker, assured journalists. He explained that the Rs70 levy is a ceiling, which will not be imposed immediately and will be kept as headroom. The same Rs70 levy has been approved for diesel, while Rs50 per liter levy will be imposed on light diesel oil and kerosene oil, and Rs70 per liter on high-octane fuel.

Expanding the Tax Net

In a country of over 240 million people, where most jobs are in the informal sector, only 5.2 million filed income tax returns in 2022. To boost tax collection, the government has implemented measures such as blocking mobile phone SIM cards and restricting non-filers from traveling abroad.

While the budget has faced criticism for not including new sectors in the tax net, the finance minister defended the plan, asserting that new sectors would indeed be taxed. “When Miftah [Ismail] proposed taxing retailers in 2022, it should have been implemented. We cannot have any segment that is not contributing to society and the exchequer.”

Aurangzeb thanked the 42,000 new retailers who registered as of yesterday, stating they would be taxed starting in July. He emphasized that the government is actively incorporating new sectors into the tax net, including the real estate sector, which will now see both demand and supply sides being taxed.

US Futures Fluctuate After Fed Official Dampens Rate Cut Expectations: Market Summary

Wall Street’s tech-driven rally, led by Nvidia Corp.’s recovery from a $430 billion loss, hit a bump on Wednesday after a Federal Reserve official dampened hopes for US interest rate cuts.

S&P 500 futures were largely unchanged, while Nasdaq 100 futures trimmed their gains following Fed Governor Michelle Bowman’s statement that borrowing costs should remain high for an extended period. The 10-year Treasury yield rose, and the dollar strengthened for the second day in a row.

Nvidia saw a premarket increase of more than 2%, building on Tuesday’s 7% gain. The chip maker’s shares have surged this year due to strong demand for its AI computing chips. Rival Micron Technology Inc. also climbed over 3% ahead of its third-quarter results on Wednesday.

Nvidia’s volatility, which has driven about a third of the market’s gains this year, has raised concerns about the heavy reliance on megacap tech stocks in equity indexes.

“Nvidia’s volatility has impacted market sentiment, but we believe the structural investment case for artificial intelligence remains solid,” said Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS Global Wealth Management. “We also maintain a positive outlook for broader equities based on strong fundamentals.”

Other premarket movers included FedEx Corp., which surged over 13% after issuing an upbeat profit forecast. Carnival Corp. gained after reporting an unexpected quarterly profit and raising its earnings outlook. Southwest Airlines Co. fell as much as 6.7% after lowering its guidance.

Fed officials recently projected only a 25 basis point reduction by the end of the year and a total of 125 basis points by the end of 2025, while market participants are anticipating around 75 basis points by the first quarter of 2025. Some investors are hedging against deeper and faster rate cuts, with the rate options market showing an increase in bets that could benefit if the Fed lowers its key rate to as low as 2.25% within the next nine months, a 3 percentage point cut.

In Europe, the Stoxx Europe 600 index reversed early gains as declines in car makers and travel and leisure stocks offset tech sector gains. Danske Bank A/S rose as much as 2.4% after raising its full-year outlook. Just Eat Takeaway.com NV and Delivery Hero SE dropped up to 4% each after JPMorgan Chase & Co. forecast sluggish growth for the food delivery sector.

With no major euro zone data on Wednesday, traders are looking to policy signals. European Central Bank Governing Council member Olli Rehn stated that expectations for two more monetary policy easing actions this year are reasonable, emphasizing that officials should avoid excessively dampening economic activity.

Yen Watch

The yen fell below 160 per dollar, a level that previously triggered a sharp reversal due to suspected intervention, raising speculation that Japanese authorities might intervene again to support the currency.

Equity gauges in Japan and Hong Kong rose, while Australia’s declined. Australia’s dollar and bond yields climbed after inflation data indicated persistent price pressures, bolstering the case for the central bank to resume raising interest rates.

China’s 10-year bond yield fell to a two-decade low as investors flocked to fixed-income securities amid concerns over the slowing economy and expectations of further stimulus.

In commodities, oil rose ahead of a US government report on crude inventories and fuel demand following mixed industry data. Iron ore climbed for a second day, while copper fell to a more than two-month low due to weak Chinese demand. Gold remained largely unchanged.

Key Events This Week:

  • US new home sales (Wednesday)
  • China industrial profits (Thursday)
  • Eurozone economic confidence, consumer confidence (Thursday)
  • US durable goods, initial jobless claims, GDP (Thursday)
  • Nike earnings (Thursday)
  • Japan Tokyo CPI, unemployment, industrial production (Friday)
  • US PCE inflation, spending and income, University of Michigan consumer sentiment (Friday)
  • Fed’s Thomas Barkin speaks (Friday)

Market Movements:

Stocks:

  • S&P 500 futures: little changed as of 7:25 a.m. New York time
  • Nasdaq 100 futures: up 0.1%
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average futures: down 0.2%
  • Stoxx Europe 600: down 0.3%
  • MSCI World Index: little changed

Currencies:

  • Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index: up 0.3%
  • Euro: down 0.3% to $1.0683
  • British pound: down 0.3% to $1.2646
  • Japanese yen: down 0.4% to 160.27 per dollar

Cryptocurrencies:

  • Bitcoin: down 0.9% to $61,374.01
  • Ether: down 0.9% to $3,378.54

Bonds:

  • 10-year US Treasuries: yield up three basis points to 4.28%
  • Germany’s 10-year yield: up three basis points to 2.44%
  • Britain’s 10-year yield: up three basis points to 4.11%

Commodities:

  • West Texas Intermediate crude: up 0.7% to $81.36 a barrel
  • Spot gold: down 0.6% to $2,305.85 an ounce

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Gulf Markets Show Mixed Performance in Early Trading; U.S. Inflation Data Under Scrutiny

Stock markets in the Gulf experienced a mixed performance during early trading on Monday, as investors anticipated an important U.S. inflation report and comments from Federal Reserve officials later in the week.

Dubai’s main stock index reversed the gains from the previous session, falling by 0.5%, with most sectors showing losses. Blue-chip developer Emaar Properties declined by 1.5%, and Dubai Islamic Bank decreased by 1%.

Abu Dhabi’s benchmark index saw a slight decline. The largest developer in the Emirate, Aldar Properties, dropped by 1.3%, while Multiply Group and Alef Education gained 2.1% and 4.3%, respectively.

Saudi Arabia’s benchmark stock index increased by 0.1%, driven by gains in finance and industry sectors. Saudi National Bank, the kingdom’s largest lender, rose by 1.9%, and ADES Holding added 1.6%. However, ACWA Power and oil giant Saudi Aramco fell by 2.5% and 0.5%, respectively.

Qatar’s benchmark index rose by 0.2%, supported by gains in most sectors, particularly communications services and utilities. Qatar Electricity and Water Co increased by 1.1%.

Ooredo advanced by 1.5% after Nvidia signed an agreement to deploy its artificial intelligence technology in data centers owned by the Qatari telecom company.

In the U.S., the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index is set to be released on Friday. A lower-than-expected figure could strengthen market expectations of a U.S. rate cut as early as September.

Given that most Gulf currencies are pegged to the dollar, any change in U.S. monetary policy is typically followed by Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and Qatar.

US Home Sales Slump Due to Record Prices and Rising Mortgage Rates

For the third month in a row, U.S. existing home sales fell in May, driven by record-high prices and a resurgence in mortgage rates, deterring potential buyers.

Despite this downturn, there was a silver lining: the National Association of Realtors reported a significant increase in housing inventory, reaching its highest level in nearly two years. If this trend continues, it could help stabilize prices and improve affordability.

However, the drop in home sales, alongside declining housing starts and building permits, indicates that the rising mortgage rates from April to May have dampened the housing market’s recovery.

Sal Guatieri, a senior economist at BMO Capital Markets, stated, “Poor affordability and still-low, though rising listings in the resale market are keeping buyers at bay, with little change expected until the Federal Reserve reduces policy rates.”

In May, home sales decreased by 0.7% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.11 million units, slightly above the 4.10 million units predicted by economists polled by Reuters. Year-on-year, home resales, which make up a substantial portion of U.S. housing sales, fell by 2.8%.

Freddie Mac data showed that the average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage peaked at 7.22% in early May, a six-month high, before dipping to just below 7.0% by the end of the month.

The Federal Reserve has kept its benchmark overnight interest rate within the 5.25%-5.50% range since last July, having increased it by 525 basis points since March 2022. While residential investment grew by double digits in the first quarter, it is expected to detract from GDP this quarter.

Regionally, sales fell by 1.6% in the South, remained unchanged in the Midwest and Northeast, and held steady in the West.

Housing inventory rose by 6.7% to 1.28 million units, the highest since August 2022, with an 18.5% increase from a year ago. Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist, attributed part of this rise in inventory in Texas and Florida to soaring costs such as property insurance.

Homeowners nationwide are facing increased insurance premiums due to rising claims, many related to flooding and wildfires. However, entry-level homes under $250,000 remain scarce, with sales continuing to decline year-on-year.

At the current sales pace, it would take 3.7 months to deplete the existing home inventory, up from 3.1 months a year ago. A four-to-seven-month supply is considered a balanced market.

The PHLX housing index fell, underperforming in a mostly rising stock market, while the dollar strengthened against a basket of currencies, and U.S. Treasury yields dropped.

Despite improved supply, the median existing home price surged by 5.8% year-on-year to a record high of $419,300, the largest increase since October 2022. Most homes sold last month were priced at $750,000 or more.

Approximately 30% of houses sold above the listing price, indicating multiple offers in some areas, with home prices rising across all four regions.

Conrad DeQuadros, a senior economic advisor at Brean Capital, noted, “There might be some suggestion that high prices are bringing more listings onto the market. Housing is not likely to be the driver of the macro economy in the months ahead.”

In May, properties typically remained on the market for 24 days, up from 18 days a year ago.

First-time buyers accounted for 31% of sales, up from 28% a year ago but still below the 40% level that economists and realtors consider indicative of a robust housing market.

All-cash sales constituted 28% of transactions, up from 25% a year ago, while distressed sales, including foreclosures, remained steady at 2%.

Despite the challenges in the housing market, the broader economy continues to show resilience, with signs of cooling inflation following a heated first quarter.

S&P Global’s survey on Friday showed its flash U.S. Composite PMI Output Index, tracking the manufacturing and services sectors, edged up to 54.6 in June, the highest level since April 2022. A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the private sector, with both services and manufacturing contributing to the activity increase.

Bill Adams, chief economist at Comerica, remarked, “Slow-and-steady economic growth is consistent with expectations for the Fed to begin cutting interest rates gradually in the second half of 2024.

KP Threatens Consequences if Loadshedding Isn’t Reduced

Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Chief Minister Ali Amin Gandapur issued a stern warning to Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s administration on Friday, cautioning that there would be serious repercussions if power outages were not limited to a maximum of 12 hours.

As Pakistan endures a severe heatwave, frequent power outages are exacerbating the situation. This has led to public protests in various parts of the country against the prolonged power cuts.

Legislators from Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) have taken matters into their own hands by forcibly restoring power to several areas in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, storming grid stations as the central government struggles with electricity distribution.

Gandapur, known for his outspoken nature, personally took similar action on the third day of Eid ul Adha, following the example of his party’s lawmakers.

In a meeting chaired by the CM to discuss the loadshedding issue, he was briefed on the current status of power cuts, the recovery efforts of power distribution companies, and other energy sector matters.

The briefing revealed that with the support of the KP government, Rs1 billion had been recovered in one month. Additionally, security was provided to the staff and facilities of the Peshawar Electric Supply Company (Pesco).

Despite the distribution company’s promise of no power cuts during Eid ul Adha, the commitment was not met, and most areas experienced 12 to 18 hours of loadshedding during the Eid holidays.

Since May 1, there have been 81 protests against unannounced power outages, with women also participating in these demonstrations, the chief minister was informed.

After the briefing, Gandapur stated that the provincial government is fully cooperating to resolve electricity issues. He expressed his disappointment that the federal government was not keeping its promises, noting that unannounced power cuts had occurred even during Eid.

Gandapur pointed out that despite significant recoveries, electricity loadshedding continues, worsening people’s living conditions. He emphasized that the protests against loadshedding are not politically motivated but are a public response to a widespread issue.

The CM reiterated that power outages exceeding 12 hours are unacceptable under any circumstances. He warned the central government that public unrest could escalate if the issue is not addressed with the seriousness it requires, reaffirming that the province is fully cooperating in the efforts to resolve the electricity crisis.

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Stock Rally Stalls Amid Uncertainty Over US Economy

Global stock markets traded cautiously on Friday as the dollar reached multi-week highs and investors awaited U.S. business surveys to gauge the strength of the economy amidst high interest rates.

MSCI’s broad index of global stocks remained flat but was on track for a 0.8% weekly rise, contributing to a monthly gain of over 2%.

Europe’s Stoxx share index opened steady, and futures suggested Wall Street’s S&P 500 would remain unchanged in early New York trading.

The markets were in a wait-and-see mode ahead of the release of S&P Global’s U.S. purchasing manager indices later in the day, which are seen as real-time indicators of business confidence and economic activity.

Economists surveyed by Reuters predict the indices will show readings above 50, indicating expansion, though slightly lower than last month.

A strong U.S. economy has driven Wall Street stocks to record highs and discouraged the Federal Reserve from lowering interest rates from their 23-year peak of 5.25% to 5.5%.

Currently, markets are hoping for a scenario where the economy and inflation slow just enough for the Fed to ease financial conditions gradually.

However, this outlook overlooks risks such as the delayed impact of tight monetary policy leading to a hard slowdown or continued economic growth keeping rates high longer, according to Andrew Pease, global head of investment strategy at Russell Investments.

“I’d be concerned about higher market volatility in coming months as the market oscillates between seeing the soft landing and worrying that maybe it’s not going to happen,” Pease said.

Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar’s continued strength on Friday pushed the Japanese yen towards intervention levels.

The yen fell to 158.77 per dollar, close to its late April levels when Japanese authorities intervened to curb the currency’s rapid decline.

Earlier data showed Japan’s demand-driven inflation slowed in May, complicating the Bank of Japan’s timeline for potential rate hikes after ending negative rates in March.

BoJ deputy governor Shinichi Uchida indicated that the central bank is prepared to raise rates if economic and price trends align with forecasts, though signs of weakness persist.

The dollar also gained from the widening policy gap between the Fed and European central banks. On Thursday, the Swiss National Bank cut rates for a second time, and the Bank of England signaled potential easing in August or September after holding rates steady.

As a result, the British pound, Swiss franc, and euro weakened against the dollar on Friday.

MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan dropped 0.6% on Friday, following a decline in technology stocks, mirroring Wall Street’s previous session.

In debt markets, U.S. Treasuries were set to end the week lower as doubts about Fed rate cuts reduced the appeal of fixed-interest securities.

Two-year Treasury yields were poised for a weekly rise of 3 basis points to 4.7151%, while the 10-year yield was up 2 bps for the week, trading at 4.2341%. Bond yields increase as prices fall.

Germany’s ten-year bund yield also rose 3 bps for the week, reaching 2.382%.

UK government bonds outperformed, with the 10-year gilt yield dropping 4 bps to 4.016%, driven by hopes of BoE rate cuts and expectations of an opposition Labour Party victory in the upcoming UK election, attracting investors back to British markets.

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High-Ranking Chinese Communist Party Official to Visit Pakistan for CPEC Progress Discussions

A senior figure in the Chinese Communist Party, Liu Jianchao, is set to arrive in Islamabad today, Thursday, to co-chair the 3rd Meeting of the Pakistan-China Joint Consultative Mechanism (JCM) to discuss advancements in the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), as per an official statement released yesterday.

The JCM, established in 2019, acts as a consistent consultation platform between the Communist Party of China and Pakistan’s political parties regarding CPEC. The inaugural meeting was held in Beijing in March 2019, followed by a virtual session in August 2020.

During the Third Meeting of the JCM, Pakistan and China will evaluate the progress of CPEC projects, their impact on Pakistan’s socioeconomic development, and plans for upgrading and extending the corridor for enhanced regional connectivity, according to the foreign office.

Liu’s visit underscores the significance of high-level exchanges between the two nations and their commitment to their strategic partnership.

Liu’s arrival in Islamabad comes shortly after Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s five-day visit to China, where he engaged with the top Chinese leadership, investors, and representatives of major technology firms.

Both countries have agreed to advance CPEC into its second phase, broadening its scope from infrastructure and energy to encompassing wider economic and social development objectives. This next phase aims to promote rural revitalization, agricultural modernization, industrialization, and green development.

Additionally, the focus will be on creating Special Economic Zones to drive industrial growth and job creation.

Liu’s visit to Pakistan was at the invitation of Deputy Prime Minister Ishaq Dar. During his stay, Liu is also expected to meet with Pakistan’s top political and military leaders.